BAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
$62.45
2.44 (4.07%)
▲
5d:
+4.59%
30d:
-22.26%
90d:
-22.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
20d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.81
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAH is currently trading at $62.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.27 to $80.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.50, while resistance sits at $70.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BAH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.83 (+47.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.50, while resistance sits at $70.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BAH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.83 (+47.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$64.27 -
$80.66
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.1% below Wall St target ($91.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.27 -
$80.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.50
Resistance Level
$70.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.99
Wall Street Target
$91.83
(+47.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 12.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.45
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$52.86
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$48.63
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$62.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.9%)
$148.29
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 2.9%)
$68.01
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 2.9%)
$57.81
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.90
Bull Case
$59.81
(-4%)
Analyst growth -9.4%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$54.37
(-13%)
Market implied -9.4%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$40.81
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$80.02
(+28.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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