VTOL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTOL - Bristow Group Inc.
$41.41
0.75 (1.84%)
▲
5d:
+0.05%
30d:
-1.9%
90d:
-11.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTOL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTOL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.70
13.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTOL is currently trading at $41.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.40 to $42.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTOL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $41.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VTOL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.00 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTOL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $41.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VTOL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.00 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$41.40 -
$42.99
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.7% below Wall St target ($62.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 10.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.40 -
$42.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.09
Resistance Level
$43.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$62.00
(+49.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.2%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.07
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$42.75
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$43.43
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.6%)
$279.62
(+575%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 34.6%)
$101.07
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 34.6%)
$85.91
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case
$61.27
(+48%)
Analyst growth 37.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$55.70
(+35%)
Market implied 37.0%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$27.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTOL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lorin L Brass
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-23
Maryanne Miller
SELL
2200 shares
2026-03-04
Jennifer Dawn Whalen
SELL
26667 shares
2026-03-02
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