WABC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WABC - Westamerica Bancorporation
$53.78
-0.40 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
-1.95%
30d:
+0.13%
90d:
+3.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WABC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WABC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.53
Based on 0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WABC is currently trading at $53.78, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.52 to $54.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$53.52 -
$54.83
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($58.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with -6.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.52 -
$54.83
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.41
Resistance Level
$55.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.52
Wall Street Target
$58.00
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Profit Margin
44.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.10
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$54.43
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$54.75
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -3.4%)
$85.51
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: -3.4%)
$48.52
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: -3.4%)
$41.24
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.49
Bull Case
$57.01
(+6%)
Analyst growth -4.3%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$51.83
(-4%)
Market implied -4.3%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$36.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WABC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Inez Wondeh
BUY
61 shares
2026-04-22
Robert James Baker Jr
SELL
759 shares
2026-04-20
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