WASH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WASH - Washington Trust Bancorp Inc

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$30.92
-0.36 (-1.15%) ▼
5d: -4.36%
30d: -12.26%
90d: -13.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WASH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.21
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.45
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WASH is currently trading at $30.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.85 to $34.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WASH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: WASH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $30.85 - $34.95
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.75)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $30.85 - $34.95
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.71
Resistance Level $32.49
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.04
Wall Street Target $32.75 (+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.8%
Profit Margin 24.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.0 vs 9.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.49 (-1%)
2-Year Target $30.06 (-3%)
3-Year Target $29.64 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $30.81 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.2%) $98.24 (+218%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 9.2%) $40.25 (+30%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 9.2%) $34.21 (+11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.74
Bull Case $42.94 (+39%)
Analyst growth 24.8%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case $39.04 (+26%)
Market implied 24.8%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case $21.27 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.4
Stabilization Target: $32.14 (+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.0%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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