WCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.
$167.60
0.37 (0.22%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WCN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WCN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.33
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.66
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WCN is currently trading at $167.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.07 to $175.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.8) is in line with its historical norms (30.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $204.25 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $204.25 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$166.07 -
$175.66
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($204.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$166.07 -
$175.66
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.11
Resistance Level
$172.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.80
Wall Street Target
$204.25
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.8 vs 30.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.26
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$164.93
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$163.61
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→31)
$167.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$219.57
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$164.33
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$139.68
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 21.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.83
Bull Case
$202.38
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$167.60
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$128.21
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.8 to 30.5
Stabilization Target:
$171.56
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
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Advanced WCN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WCN price and gamma walls.
