WDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDC - Western Digital Corp.
$250.23
-28.18 (-10.12%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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10 traders called WDC this week
91% bullish • 1 bearish
91% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$527.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$327.42
23.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDC is currently trading at $250.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $182.18 to $244.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $216.83, while resistance sits at $285.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: WDC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $229.38. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $216.83, while resistance sits at $285.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: WDC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $229.38. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$182.18 -
$244.34
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WDC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 17.6% above Wall St target ($229.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -41.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$182.18 -
$244.34
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$216.83
Resistance Level
$285.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.70
Wall Street Target
$229.38
(-17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.9%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 25.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$279.25
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$280.08
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$280.92
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$277.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 37.1%)
$717.52
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 37.1%)
$622.49
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 37.1%)
$529.11
(+90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.10
Bull Case
$423.98
(+52%)
Analyst growth 52.6%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$385.44
(+38%)
Market implied 52.6%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case
$171.81
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vidyadhara K Gubbi
SELL
11343 shares
2025-09-04
Gene M Zamiska
SELL
353 shares
2025-08-28
Gene M Zamiska
SELL
814 shares
2025-08-26
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