WERN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WERN - Werner Enterprises Inc

TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)
$34.25
-0.39 (-1.13%) ▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WERN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.91
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WERN is currently trading at $34.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.98 to $33.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.8) compared to its historical average (36.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WERN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.98, while resistance sits at $35.88.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $31.13. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $30.98 - $33.88
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 10.1% above Wall St target ($31.13)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.9% growth expectation is conservative given 380% recent growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $30.98 - $33.88
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.98
Resistance Level $35.89
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 43.80
Wall Street Target $31.13 (-10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 380.0%
Profit Margin 0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.9% premium
PE vs Historical 43.8 vs 36.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.68 (+6%)
2-Year Target $38.85 (+12%)
3-Year Target $41.14 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 44→37) PE COMPRESSION $34.66 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 43.8, Growth: 1330.2%) $116.91 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 1330.2%) $59.53 (+72%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 1330.2%) $50.60 (+46%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (44x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 44.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.79
Bull Case $41.83 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 46.3
Base Case $34.64 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 44.1
Bear Case $26.50 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 39.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced WERN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WERN price and gamma walls.

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