WERN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WERN - Werner Enterprises Inc
$28.51
-0.09 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
+1.71%
30d:
-18.75%
90d:
-6.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WERN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -17.3% annual earnings decline despite 380% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WERN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -17.3% annual earnings decline despite 380% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.50
45.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WERN is currently trading at $28.51, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.82 to $33.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (29.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 380.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WERN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.62, while resistance sits at $29.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.40 (+20.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WERN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.62, while resistance sits at $29.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.40 (+20.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$27.82 -
$33.69
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($34.40)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.82 -
$33.69
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.57
(5.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.62
Resistance Level
$29.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.47
Wall Street Target
$34.40
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
380.0%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 29.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.74
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.17
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→29)
$36.84
(+29%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 134.2%)
$131.29
(+359%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 134.2%)
$96.53
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 134.2%)
$82.05
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 29.1
Stabilization Target:
$50.54
(+76.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+76.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WERN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Downing
SELL
1418 shares
2026-02-20
Eric J Downing
SELL
1428 shares
2026-02-19
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