WINA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$430.43
-2.66 (-0.61%)
▼
5d:
+0.49%
30d:
-9.86%
90d:
+6.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 15, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WINA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WINA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$443.19
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$275.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $430.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $418.70 to $458.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.8) is in line with its historical norms (34.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $442.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+26.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $442.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+26.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$418.70 -
$458.55
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($545.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$418.70 -
$458.55
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$399.98
Resistance Level
$442.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.78
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Profit Margin
48.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.8 vs 34.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$423.97
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$417.61
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$411.35
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→34)
$430.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$548.61
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 8.4%)
$344.24
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$292.60
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.32
Bull Case
$513.91
(+25%)
Analyst growth 16.0%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$467.19
(+14%)
Market implied 16.0%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case
$273.90
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.8 to 34.3
Stabilization Target:
$450.36
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Renae M Gaudette
SELL
1200 shares
2025-10-24
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