WINA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$450.69
-1.24 (-0.27%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WINA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WINA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$423.45
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$262.93
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $450.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $413.82 to $451.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.5) is in line with its historical norms (34.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $419.10, while resistance sits at $488.83.
Market Sentiment: WINA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $419.10, while resistance sits at $488.83.
Market Sentiment: WINA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$413.82 -
$451.07
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 5.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$413.82 -
$451.07
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$419.10
Resistance Level
$488.83
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.45
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Profit Margin
48.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
36.5 vs 34.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$460.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$469.27
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$478.18
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$451.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$583.13
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$356.80
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.9%)
$303.28
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.22
Bull Case
$559.22
(+24%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case
$508.38
(+13%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$312.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Renae M Gaudette
SELL
1200 shares
2025-10-24
Lawrence A Barbetta
SELL
852 shares
2025-09-17
Brett D Heffes
SELL
4971 shares
2025-08-27
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Advanced WINA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WINA price and gamma walls.
