WING Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WING - Wingstop Inc
$153.24
8.37 (5.78%)
▲
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
-35.97%
90d:
-35.75%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WING trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WING trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.32
14.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WING is currently trading at $153.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $169.47 to $242.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (47.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $150.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $316.87 (+118.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $150.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $316.87 (+118.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$169.47 -
$242.65
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 118.7% below Wall St target ($316.87)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$169.47 -
$242.65
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$150.34
Resistance Level
$194.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.42
Wall Street Target
$316.87
(+118.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
25.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 47.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.38
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$117.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$105.61
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→48)
$205.85
(+42%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 26.7%)
$294.56
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 26.7%)
$269.57
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 26.7%)
$229.14
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.22
Bull Case
$197.28
(+8%)
Analyst growth -4.5%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$179.34
(-2%)
Market implied -4.5%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$127.70
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 47.6
Stabilization Target:
$282.37
(+94.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+94.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WING showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kilandigalu Madati
SELL
2700 shares
2026-02-25
Wesley S Mcdonald
SELL
566 shares
2026-02-23
Kilandigalu Madati
SELL
269 shares
2025-11-25
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