WING Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WING - Wingstop Inc
$265.43
-6.89 (-2.53%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WING shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WING shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$217.45
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WING is currently trading at $265.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $252.95 to $276.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 57.1) is in line with its historical norms (54.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $256.00, while resistance sits at $286.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $323.18 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $256.00, while resistance sits at $286.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $323.18 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$252.95 -
$276.44
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
57th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 57th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($323.18)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$252.95 -
$276.44
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$29.72
(11.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$256.00
Resistance Level
$286.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
57.10
Wall Street Target
$323.18
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
57.1 vs 54.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$277.49
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$282.77
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$288.14
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 57→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$272.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 57.1, Growth: 21.9%)
$493.53
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.9%)
$192.73
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.9%)
$163.82
(-40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 44.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.16
Bull Case
$232.22
(-13%)
Analyst growth -22.6%, PE expands to 48.7
Base Case
$211.11
(-21%)
Market implied -22.6%, PE stable at 44.3
Bear Case
$185.44
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WING showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced WING Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WING price and gamma walls.
