WING Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WING - Wingstop Inc

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$154.64
0.18 (0.12%) β–²
5d: -15.61%
30d: -40.41%
90d: -39.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 28d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WING is down 15.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.06
13.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WING is currently trading at $154.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $184.04 to $255.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.1) compared to its historical average (48.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $153.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $319.48 (+106.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $184.04 - $255.05
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 106.6% below Wall St target ($319.48)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $184.04 - $255.05
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $153.23
Resistance Level $204.95
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.11
Wall Street Target $319.48 (+106.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.7%
Profit Margin 25.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -18.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.1 vs 48.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -18.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $139.18 (-10%)
2-Year Target $125.26 (-19%)
3-Year Target $112.73 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26β†’48) $208.14 (+35%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.1, Growth: 26.5%) $312.78 (+102%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 26.5%) $267.77 (+73%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 26.5%) $227.61 (+47%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.22
Bull Case $197.28 (+8%)
Analyst growth -4.5%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case $179.34 (-2%)
Market implied -4.5%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case $127.70 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.1 to 48.2
Stabilization Target: $285.51 (+84.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +84.6%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kilandigalu Madati SELL 2700 shares 2026-02-25
Wesley S Mcdonald SELL 566 shares 2026-02-23
Kilandigalu Madati SELL 269 shares 2025-11-25

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