WMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WMT - Walmart Inc.
$125.25
0.51 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
+2.51%
30d:
-2.0%
90d:
+12.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.75
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WMT is currently trading at $125.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.20 to $126.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 42.1) is in line with its historical norms (41.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$122.20 -
$126.60
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($136.02)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 5.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$122.20 -
$126.60
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$118.02
Resistance Level
$125.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.06
Wall Street Target
$136.02
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
42.1 vs 41.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$125.86
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$127.00
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$128.14
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→41)
PE COMPRESSION
$124.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.1, Growth: 12.4%)
$177.08
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$94.10
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$79.98
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.73
Bull Case
$142.23
(+18%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 48.0
Base Case
$129.30
(+7%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 43.6
Bear Case
$80.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 2:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John D Rainey
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-02
C Douglas Mcmillon
SELL
19416 shares
2026-02-26
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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Advanced WMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WMT price and gamma walls.
