WNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WNC - Wabash National Corp.
$8.65
0.20 (2.37%)
▲
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
-12.27%
90d:
-1.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WNC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -24.6% annual earnings decline despite 1274% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WNC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -24.6% annual earnings decline despite 1274% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.62
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.15
49.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WNC is currently trading at $8.65, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.19 to $10.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1274.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.59, while resistance sits at $9.27.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+71.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.59, while resistance sits at $9.27.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+71.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$8.19 -
$10.14
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 71.6% below Wall St target ($14.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.19 -
$10.14
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.66
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.59
Resistance Level
$9.27
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.03
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+71.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1274.4%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 16.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.84
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.16
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→16)
$14.37
(+70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 1.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.07
Bull Case
$4.36
(-50%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 1.7
Base Case
$3.96
(-54%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 1.6
Bear Case
$5.39
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 1.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$19.71
(+133.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+133.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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