WRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WRB - W.R. Berkley Corporation
$68.58
0.32 (0.47%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.59
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.11
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WRB is currently trading at $68.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.67 to $70.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$67.67 -
$70.19
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$67.67 -
$70.19
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.02
Resistance Level
$69.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.05
Wall Street Target
$69.00
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.7%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.49
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$64.76
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$63.07
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$68.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$127.85
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 5.7%)
$80.54
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$68.46
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.45
Bull Case
$81.28
(+19%)
Analyst growth 9.2%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$73.89
(+8%)
Market implied 9.2%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$46.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$73.86
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced WRB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WRB price and gamma walls.
