XPER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
XPER - Xperi Inc
$5.66
-0.07 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-5.19%
30d:
-5.51%
90d:
-14.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: XPER shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: XPER shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.36
23.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: XPER is currently trading at $5.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.84 to $6.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 380.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XPER is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.40 (+101.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XPER is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.40 (+101.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.84 -
$6.15
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 101.4% below Wall St target ($11.40)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.84 -
$6.15
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.49
(8.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.58
Resistance Level
$6.32
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.77
Wall Street Target
$11.40
(+101.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
380.0%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 6.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.53
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$5.40
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$5.28
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$5.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 35.7%)
$54.69
(+866%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 35.7%)
$14.14
(+150%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 35.7%)
$12.02
(+112%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.16
Bull Case
$12.69
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.7
Base Case
$11.54
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.1
Bear Case
$3.92
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$6.09
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 10:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is XPER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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