ACM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACM - Aecom
$83.21
-2.25 (-2.63%)
▼
5d:
-7.61%
30d:
-15.07%
90d:
-14.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ACM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.46
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.80
10.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACM is currently trading at $83.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.16 to $96.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.25 (+54.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.25 (+54.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$88.16 -
$96.13
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
35th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 35th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.1% below Wall St target ($128.25)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$88.16 -
$96.13
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.21
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.34
Resistance Level
$92.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.56
Wall Street Target
$128.25
(+54.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.3%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 15.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.30
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$71.81
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$66.71
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$83.39
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$203.28
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$114.24
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.1%)
$97.11
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.52
Bull Case
$142.81
(+59%)
Analyst growth 46.6%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$129.83
(+44%)
Market implied 46.6%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$60.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$104.01
(+25.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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