DY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DY - Dycom Industries, Inc.
$450.98
6.17 (1.39%)
▲
5d:
+5.77%
30d:
+14.17%
90d:
+8.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
4d
Smart Money Accumulation
DY is down 6.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $430 2026-06-18 with 222 OI. Call ratio: 81% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$625.98
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$388.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DY is currently trading at $450.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $385.14 to $436.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (29.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $409.46, while resistance sits at $464.82.
Market Sentiment: DY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (24th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $409.46, while resistance sits at $464.82.
Market Sentiment: DY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (24th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$385.14 -
$436.65
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
24th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 24th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($473.82)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 34.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$385.14 -
$436.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$36.53
(8.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$409.46
Resistance Level
$464.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.13
Wall Street Target
$473.82
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
33.1 vs 29.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$468.12
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$485.91
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$504.37
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$450.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$825.59
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.3%)
$549.19
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 22.3%)
$466.81
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.56
Bull Case
$696.66
(+55%)
Analyst growth 42.4%, PE expands to 51.2
Base Case
$633.32
(+40%)
Market implied 42.4%, PE stable at 46.5
Bear Case
$302.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 6:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eitan Gertel
SELL
3645 shares
2026-01-09
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Advanced DY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DY price and gamma walls.
