J Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
J - Jacobs Solutions Inc.
$112.76
5.49 (5.12%)
▲
5d:
-8.15%
30d:
-11.43%
90d:
-14.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
J is down 16.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $125 2026-07-17 with 75 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.4/10
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2 traders called J this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: J shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: J shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$216.82
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$134.63
16.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: J is currently trading at $112.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.28 to $131.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, J is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $105.68, while resistance sits at $137.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: J has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.27 (+40.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, J is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $105.68, while resistance sits at $137.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: J has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.27 (+40.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$119.28 -
$131.22
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding J? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($158.27)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$119.28 -
$131.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.68
Resistance Level
$137.77
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.63
Wall Street Target
$158.27
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-63.4%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 17.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.64
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$97.11
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$90.12
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$112.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.2%)
$271.54
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 14.2%)
$167.91
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 14.2%)
$142.72
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case
$235.99
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$214.54
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$72.94
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$140.65
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is J showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Shannon Miller
SELL
1440 shares
2026-03-06
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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