STN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STN - Stantec, Inc.
$77.18
-0.09 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-10.17%
30d:
-15.37%
90d:
-11.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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1 traders called STN this week
0% bullish • 2 bearish
0% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.48
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.57
15.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STN is currently trading at $77.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.59 to $92.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.46, while resistance sits at $93.62.
Market Sentiment: STN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+22.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.46, while resistance sits at $93.62.
Market Sentiment: STN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+22.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$82.59 -
$92.83
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($94.28)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.59 -
$92.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.46
Resistance Level
$93.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.19
Wall Street Target
$94.28
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.93
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$65.12
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$59.78
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$77.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$215.31
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 12.2%)
$109.21
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 12.2%)
$92.83
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$160.09
(+107%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$145.54
(+88%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$49.48
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$100.09
(+29.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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