STN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STN - Stantec, Inc.
$70.03
2.41 (3.56%)
▲
5d:
+3.03%
30d:
-6.43%
90d:
-19.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.03
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.60
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STN is currently trading at $70.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.90 to $74.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+34.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+34.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$68.90 -
$74.80
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($94.28)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.90 -
$74.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.58
Resistance Level
$77.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.19
Wall Street Target
$94.28
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.59
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$57.74
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$52.43
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$69.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$203.15
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 10.7%)
$95.09
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$80.83
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.02
Bull Case
$148.76
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$135.24
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$45.98
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$93.43
(+33.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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