MTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$434.77
10.98 (2.59%)
▲
5d:
+5.46%
30d:
+19.09%
90d:
+63.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$565.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$351.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $434.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $354.92 to $412.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.4) compared to its historical average (30.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $441.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $441.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$354.92 -
$412.02
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($468.22)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.0% growth expectation is conservative given 508% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$354.92 -
$412.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$396.87
Resistance Level
$441.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.42
Wall Street Target
$468.22
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
508.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
37.4 vs 30.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$465.20
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$497.77
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$532.61
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$434.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.4, Growth: 31.8%)
$994.33
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 31.8%)
$585.70
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 31.8%)
$497.84
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 47.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.90
Bull Case
$511.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case
$423.79
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.6
Bear Case
$324.20
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Alberto Palomarez
SELL
950 shares
2026-03-25
Ernst N Csiszar
SELL
6500 shares
2026-03-03
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2026-02-04
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