MTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$373.43
-17.18 (-4.40%)
▼
5d:
-7.47%
30d:
+1.95%
90d:
+11.88%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MTZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$573.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$355.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $373.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $359.27 to $399.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.7) is in line with its historical norms (31.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $339.00, while resistance sits at $394.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $465.65 (+24.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $339.00, while resistance sits at $394.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $465.65 (+24.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$359.27 -
$399.72
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($465.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$359.27 -
$399.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$339.00
Resistance Level
$394.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.73
Wall Street Target
$465.65
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
508.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
31.7 vs 31.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$376.42
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$379.43
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$382.46
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$373.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.7, Growth: 33.2%)
$883.04
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.2%)
$606.22
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 33.2%)
$515.29
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 47.85 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.80
Bull Case
$450.92
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.2
Base Case
$373.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.9
Bear Case
$285.67
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 43.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Alberto Palomarez
SELL
950 shares
2026-03-25
Ernst N Csiszar
SELL
6500 shares
2026-03-03
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2026-02-04
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