ACMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$58.12
3.44 (6.29%)
▲
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LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 20, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACMR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACMR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.03
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $58.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.76 to $54.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.5) compared to its historical average (20.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $48.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $48.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$42.76 -
$54.18
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
ACMR is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading 11.0% above Wall St target ($48.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.76 -
$54.18
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.43
Resistance Level
$58.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.49
Wall Street Target
$48.67
(-11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
13.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 20.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.84
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$63.31
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$68.12
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: 18.8%)
$91.77
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.8%)
$80.28
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.8%)
$68.23
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$74.01
(+35%)
Analyst growth 24.7%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$67.28
(+23%)
Market implied 24.7%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$36.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sotheara Cheav
SELL
10000 shares
2025-09-18
Jian Wang
SELL
30000 shares
2025-09-18
Tracy Liu
SELL
15000 shares
2025-09-17
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