ADTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADTN - ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$9.22
-0.15 (-1.60%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
Get Alerted When ADTN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADTN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADTN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.57
12.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADTN is currently trading at $9.22, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.74 to $9.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADTN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.92, while resistance sits at $10.35.
Market Sentiment: ADTN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.67 (+35.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADTN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.92, while resistance sits at $10.35.
Market Sentiment: ADTN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.67 (+35.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$8.74 -
$9.45
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($12.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 22.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.74 -
$9.45
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.92
Resistance Level
$10.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.83
Wall Street Target
$12.67
(+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.0%
Profit Margin
-7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.59
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$9.81
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$10.03
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 209.0%)
$35.56
(+280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 209.0%)
$31.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 209.0%)
$26.88
(+187%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ADTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Communication Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Communication Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CSCO
Cisco Systems Inc |
BUY
26 analysts |
$86 | 66 BUY |
|
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$348 | 63 BUY |
|
CIEN
Ciena Corp |
BUY
16 analysts |
$237 | 61 BUY |
|
ZBRA
Zebra Technologies Corpo… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$347 | 56 HOLD |
|
MSI
Motorola Solutions Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$488 | 64 BUY |
Advanced ADTN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADTN price and gamma walls.
