MSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSI - Motorola Solutions, Inc. New
$422.66
3.72 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
+6.46%
30d:
+1.74%
90d:
-2.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MSI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MSI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$602.32
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$373.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSI is currently trading at $422.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $399.97 to $415.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.8) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $424.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $506.55 (+19.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $424.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $506.55 (+19.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$399.97 -
$415.56
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($506.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$399.97 -
$415.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$20.60
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$389.02
Resistance Level
$424.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.82
Wall Street Target
$506.55
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.8%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$417.17
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$411.74
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$406.39
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$422.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$549.27
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$524.18
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$445.55
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.40
Bull Case
$688.25
(+63%)
Analyst growth 49.3%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$625.68
(+48%)
Market implied 49.3%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$284.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.8 to 23.7
Stabilization Target:
$438.91
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory Q Brown
SELL
28435 shares
2026-03-04
Cynthia Yazdi
SELL
7000 shares
2026-02-26
Gregory Q Brown
SELL
52 shares
2026-02-26
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Advanced MSI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MSI price and gamma walls.
