CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$112.69
-4.32 (-3.69%)
▼
5d:
-5.28%
30d:
-11.96%
90d:
+44.6%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSCO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CSCO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.48
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $112.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.61 to $123.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $111.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.18 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $111.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.18 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$116.61 -
$123.94
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($127.18)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.9% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.61 -
$123.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.90
Resistance Level
$122.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.59
Wall Street Target
$127.18
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.1%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 19.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.34
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$126.38
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$133.84
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 11.7%)
$156.99
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$144.94
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$123.20
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$204.94
(+82%)
Analyst growth 59.2%, PE expands to 42.9
Base Case
$186.31
(+65%)
Market implied 59.2%, PE stable at 39.0
Bear Case
$79.57
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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