What is the fair value of CSCO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CSCO to be between $82.48 and $97.01. The current price is $115.54.

What is the analyst price target for CSCO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CSCO is $89.54. This implies a potential upside of -12.1% from current levels.

CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)

Computer Communications Equipment

$115.54

13.67 (13.42%) ▲

5d: +25.37%

30d: +40.29%

90d: +54.05%

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LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: CSCO is 19.1% above its trading range ($97.01). Market expects 7.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$111.73

Based on 6.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$69.38

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $115.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.48 to $97.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (18.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $91.00, while resistance sits at $119.36. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: CSCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $89.54. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $82.48 - $97.01

Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 46.7%

Protect Your Profits

CSCO is technically overbought (RSI 87). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+19.1% above its trading range)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.4%)
BEARISH: Trading 12.1% above Wall St target ($89.54)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.3% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 19.1% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $82.48 - $97.01

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $91.00

Resistance Level $119.36

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.58

Wall Street Target $89.54 (-12.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 31.2%

Profit Margin 18.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +7.3% premium

PE vs Historical 22.6 vs 18.3 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +7.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $109.31 (+7%)

2-Year Target $117.29 (+15%)

3-Year Target $125.85 (+24%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→18) PE COMPRESSION $102.00 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.6, Growth: 8.5%) $129.96 (+28%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.5%) $126.86 (+25%)

Bear: (PE: 18.3, Growth: 8.5%) $105.33 (+3%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 36.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.78

Bull Case $180.25 (+77%)

Analyst growth 62.3%, PE expands to 40.0

Base Case $163.86 (+61%)

Market implied 62.3%, PE stable at 36.3

Bear Case $68.66 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: May 14, 2026 3:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

Maria Elvira Salazar BUY 2026-03-19

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Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)

Computer Communications Equipment

About

Cisco Systems is the largest provider of networking equipment in the world and one of the largest software companies in the world. Its largest businesses are selling networking hardware and software (where it has leading market shares) and cybersecurity software such as firewalls. It also has collaboration products, like its Webex suite, and observability tools. It primarily outsources its manufacturing to third parties and has a large sales and marketing staff—25,000 strong across 90 countries. Overall, Cisco employs 80,000 people and sells its products globally.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $271,782,290,519

Employees: 86,200

Listed Since: 1990-02-16

Website: Visit

CIK: 0000858877

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