AKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKR - Acadia Realty Trust
$20.01
0.23 (1.16%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AKR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AKR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $20.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.29 to $21.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 71.5) is in line with its historical norms (73.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.25, while resistance sits at $21.11.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.43 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.25, while resistance sits at $21.11.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.43 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$20.29 -
$21.04
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.43)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.29 -
$21.04
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.26
Resistance Level
$21.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
71.46
Wall Street Target
$22.43
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.1%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
71.5 vs 73.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.83
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$19.65
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$19.47
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 71→73)
$20.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 71.5, Growth: 27.3%)
$41.25
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 27.3%)
$12.87
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 27.3%)
$10.94
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 65.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.30
Bull Case
$24.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 69.1
Base Case
$20.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 65.8
Bear Case
$15.31
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 59.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 71.5 to 73.4
Stabilization Target:
$20.55
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AKR price and gamma walls.
