NTST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTST - NetSTREIT Corp.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$20.55
0.09 (0.44%) ▲
5d: +0.93%
30d: +1.83%
90d: +3.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.63
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.19
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTST is currently trading at $20.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.00 to $20.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 50.1) compared to its historical average (65.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 177.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $20.00 - $20.78
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.46)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.00 - $20.78
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.98
Resistance Level $20.83
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 50.12
Wall Street Target $22.46 (+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 177.0%
Profit Margin 5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 50.1 vs 65.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.84 (-8%)
2-Year Target $17.28 (-16%)
3-Year Target $15.85 (-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 50→65) $20.55 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 50.1, Growth: 24.2%) $39.41 (+92%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 24.2%) $17.33 (-16%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 24.2%) $14.73 (-28%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (50x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 53.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.38
Bull Case $24.81 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 56.5
Base Case $20.55 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 53.8
Bear Case $15.72 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 50.1 to 65.0
Stabilization Target: $26.65 (+29.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +29.7%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Daniel P Donlan BUY 1000 shares 2025-12-19
Daniel P Donlan BUY 1000 shares 2025-12-08

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