BRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRX - BRIXMOR PROPERTY GROUP INC.
$30.02
0.78 (2.67%)
▲
5d:
+0.6%
30d:
-2.91%
90d:
+1.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.51
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRX is currently trading at $30.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.63 to $30.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.3) is in line with its historical norms (26.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.63 -
$30.49
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.78)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.63 -
$30.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.16
Resistance Level
$30.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.31
Wall Street Target
$32.78
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.8%
Profit Margin
32.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 26.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.14
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$30.26
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$30.38
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 4.1%)
$33.87
(+13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 4.1%)
$27.41
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 4.1%)
$23.29
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$25.00
(-17%)
Analyst growth -23.1%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$22.73
(-24%)
Market implied -23.1%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$20.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 19, 2026 12:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Bowerman
SELL
8000 shares
2026-02-12
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