ALEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALEX - Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
$20.74
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.72
Based on -13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.80
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALEX is currently trading at $20.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.67 to $20.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.0) is in line with its historical norms (29.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$20.67 -
$20.78
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
65th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 65th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.95)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with -19.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.67 -
$20.78
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.79
(13.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.68
Resistance Level
$20.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.96
Wall Street Target
$20.95
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.7%
Profit Margin
32.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
31.0 vs 29.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.07
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.41
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$21.75
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.0, Growth: -30.9%)
$15.12
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -30.9%)
$10.89
(-48%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -30.9%)
$9.26
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.01
Bull Case
$15.10
(-27%)
Analyst growth -33.7%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$13.73
(-34%)
Market implied -33.7%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$14.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Meredith J Ching
SELL
700 shares
2025-10-10
Meredith J Ching
SELL
700 shares
2025-09-10
Meredith J Ching
SELL
700 shares
2025-08-11
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Advanced ALEX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALEX price and gamma walls.
