ALGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALGM - Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. Common Stock
$55.49
-7.72 (-12.21%)
▼
5d:
-7.77%
30d:
+10.24%
90d:
+66.62%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALGM trades at premium valuation expecting 9.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ALGM trades at premium valuation expecting 9.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALGM is currently trading at $55.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.59 to $60.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 57.4) compared to its historical average (44.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.88, while resistance sits at $71.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALGM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.88, while resistance sits at $71.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALGM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.59 -
$60.08
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALGM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-12.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.91)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.3% growth with 26.1% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.59 -
$60.08
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.88
Resistance Level
$71.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
57.43
Wall Street Target
$56.91
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.5%
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.3% premium
PE vs Historical
57.4 vs 44.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.65
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$66.29
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$72.45
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 57→44)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 57.4, Growth: 82.2%)
$187.26
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 82.2%)
$71.02
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 82.2%)
$60.37
(+9%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ALGM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALGM price and gamma walls.
