ALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALL - The Allstate Corporation
$217.37
0.92 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
+1.98%
30d:
+1.64%
90d:
+4.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
ALL is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $220 2026-06-18 with 432 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.34
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $217.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $212.44 to $217.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 338.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $241.45 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $241.45 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$212.44 -
$217.45
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($241.45)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$212.44 -
$217.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$209.66
Resistance Level
$222.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.30
Wall Street Target
$241.45
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
338.4%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.72
(0%)
2-Year Target
$216.07
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$215.42
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$218.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -12.1%)
$421.38
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: -12.1%)
$158.46
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -12.1%)
$134.69
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $45.22
Bull Case
$137.32
(-37%)
Analyst growth -42.1%, PE expands to 5.2
Base Case
$124.84
(-43%)
Market implied -42.1%, PE stable at 4.8
Bear Case
$146.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$220.00
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Suren Gupta
SELL
19593 shares
2026-01-07
Suren Gupta
SELL
3786 shares
2025-11-28
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