AME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AME - Ametek, Inc.
$232.14
0.72 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
-1.1%
30d:
+0.89%
90d:
+1.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AME is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $240 2026-06-18 with 898 OI. Call ratio: 93% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AME shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AME shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$296.73
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$184.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AME is currently trading at $232.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $227.12 to $236.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.4) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $228.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.16 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $228.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.16 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$227.12 -
$236.72
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($259.16)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$227.12 -
$236.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$228.66
Resistance Level
$243.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.35
Wall Street Target
$259.16
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$232.84
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$233.53
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$234.24
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$232.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: 8.3%)
$294.53
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$246.39
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 8.3%)
$209.43
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.62
Bull Case
$338.83
(+46%)
Analyst growth 33.1%, PE expands to 38.5
Base Case
$308.02
(+33%)
Market implied 33.1%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$157.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas A Amato
SELL
530 shares
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
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Advanced AME Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AME price and gamma walls.
