AMKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMKR - Amkor Technology Inc

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$48.33
-1.67 (-3.34%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026 8d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: AMKR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.05
7.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMKR is currently trading at $48.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.90 to $52.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.0) compared to its historical average (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMKR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.48, while resistance sits at $55.17. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $44.75. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $42.90 - $52.32
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 10.5% above Wall St target ($44.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $42.90 - $52.32
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.48
Resistance Level $55.17
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.04
Wall Street Target $44.75 (-10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.1%
Profit Margin 4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 29.0 vs 25.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $52.10 (+4%)
2-Year Target $54.29 (+9%)
3-Year Target $56.57 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29β†’26) PE COMPRESSION $49.87 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.0, Growth: 36.5%) $127.22 (+154%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 36.5%) $97.70 (+95%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 36.5%) $83.04 (+66%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case $77.84 (+61%)
Analyst growth 38.9%, PE expands to 45.2
Base Case $70.76 (+46%)
Market implied 38.9%, PE stable at 41.1
Bear Case $34.65 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Guillaume Marie Jean Rut… SELL 10000 shares 2025-10-15
Guillaume Marie Jean Rut… SELL 10000 shares 2025-09-23
Farshad Haghighi SELL 11792 shares 2025-09-09

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Advanced AMKR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMKR price and gamma walls.

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