APLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APLE - Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
$14.09
0.33 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
+2.18%
30d:
+8.38%
90d:
+14.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APLE trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: APLE trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.16
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $14.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.78 to $13.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.78 -
$13.84
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.7% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.78 -
$13.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.27
Resistance Level
$14.19
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.32
Wall Street Target
$13.88
(-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 17.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.89
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$15.74
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$16.64
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 3.0%)
$16.73
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 3.0%)
$15.38
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 3.0%)
$13.02
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$14.65
(+4%)
Analyst growth -5.0%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$13.32
(-6%)
Market implied -5.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$9.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Glade M Knight
BUY
5000 shares
2025-12-11
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