BEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEN - Franklin Resources, Inc.
$32.35
0.31 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
+6.0%
30d:
+21.48%
90d:
+19.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEN trades at premium valuation expecting 6.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: BEN trades at premium valuation expecting 6.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.79
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEN is currently trading at $32.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.65 to $30.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.65 -
$30.75
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.0%
Protect Your Profits
BEN is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($30.55)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.4% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.65 -
$30.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.28
Resistance Level
$32.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.98
Wall Street Target
$30.55
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.2%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 9.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.42
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$36.62
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$38.97
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.9%)
$81.64
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 7.9%)
$40.66
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 7.9%)
$33.71
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.31
Bull Case
$70.49
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$64.08
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$21.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 3:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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