BK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BK - Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
$135.98
0.99 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
+4.05%
30d:
+3.05%
90d:
+18.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
BK is up 4.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $125 2026-06-18 with 13,794 OI. Put ratio: 74% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.21
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BK is currently trading at $135.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.95 to $135.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $136.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $136.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$128.95 -
$135.66
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($142.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$128.95 -
$135.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.16
Resistance Level
$136.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.10
Wall Street Target
$142.64
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.8%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$138.56
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$141.20
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$143.88
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$135.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$278.51
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$178.21
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$151.48
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.06
Bull Case
$177.64
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.6%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$161.49
(+19%)
Market implied 19.6%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$91.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kevin Mccarthy
SELL
30000 shares
2026-04-17
Kurtis R Kurimsky
SELL
5290 shares
2026-04-17
Shannon Marie Hobbs
SELL
297 shares
2026-04-17
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Top-rated stocks in Banks - Diversified by analyst ratings.
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|---|---|---|---|
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BAC
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C
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JPM
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BUY
25 analysts |
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RY
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STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$175 | 61 BUY |
Advanced BK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BK price and gamma walls.
