BNL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$18.51
0.14 (0.76%)
ā²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: BNL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
š HOLD: BNL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.01
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.88
6.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $18.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.58 to $18.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.0) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$17.58 -
$18.51
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BNL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 5.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.58 -
$18.51
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.88
Resistance Level
$18.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.00
Wall Street Target
$20.18
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.4%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
26.0 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.54
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$18.70
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$18.87
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26ā25)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.0, Growth: 21.6%)
$33.01
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.6%)
$28.32
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.6%)
$24.07
(+31%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$29.68
(+60%)
Analyst growth 50.3%, PE expands to 42.0
Base Case
$26.99
(+46%)
Market implied 50.3%, PE stable at 38.2
Bear Case
$12.21
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BNL price and gamma walls.
