VICI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock
$27.88
-0.33 (-1.17%)
▼
5d:
-3.16%
30d:
-0.89%
90d:
-4.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
VICI is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 23,494 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VICI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VICI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.19
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $27.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.03 to $28.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.17 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.17 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.03 -
$28.78
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($34.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.03 -
$28.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.97
Resistance Level
$29.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.50
Wall Street Target
$34.17
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.1%
Profit Margin
76.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.55
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$27.21
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$26.89
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$28.02
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 1.4%)
$67.41
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 1.4%)
$29.05
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 1.4%)
$24.69
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$31.19
(+12%)
Analyst growth 0.5%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$28.36
(+2%)
Market implied 0.5%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$19.18
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$29.06
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VICI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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Advanced VICI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VICI price and gamma walls.
