VICI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock
$28.84
0.05 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.91%
30d:
+2.78%
90d:
+0.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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1 traders called VICI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.74
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $28.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.76 to $28.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VICI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.17 (+18.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VICI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.17 (+18.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.76 -
$28.76
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VICI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.76 -
$28.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.97
Resistance Level
$29.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.81
Wall Street Target
$34.17
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.1%
Profit Margin
76.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.78
(0%)
2-Year Target
$28.72
(0%)
3-Year Target
$28.67
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$28.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 3.2%)
$70.81
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 3.2%)
$31.66
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 3.2%)
$26.91
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$31.89
(+11%)
Analyst growth 0.7%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$28.99
(+1%)
Market implied 0.7%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$19.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$29.11
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 12:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VICI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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