WPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)
$71.32
0.51 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
-2.77%
30d:
-3.35%
90d:
+2.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.29
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.28
11.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $71.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.10 to $75.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.50 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.50 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.10 -
$75.30
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($78.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.10 -
$75.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.59
Resistance Level
$75.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.60
Wall Street Target
$78.50
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.2%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 23.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.90
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$64.64
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$61.53
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$71.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.8%)
$114.05
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 14.8%)
$107.85
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 14.8%)
$91.67
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case
$115.26
(+62%)
Analyst growth 48.0%, PE expands to 33.3
Base Case
$104.78
(+47%)
Market implied 48.0%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case
$48.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 23.9
Stabilization Target:
$82.76
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gary C. Peters
BUY
2026-01-12
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