WPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$73.69
-0.26 (-0.35%) ▼
5d: -0.28%
30d: +2.95%
90d: +0.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.46
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.93
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $73.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.61 to $73.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.5) is in line with its historical norms (24.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: WPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $71.61 - $73.93
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.42)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $71.61 - $73.93
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $72.07
Resistance Level $74.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.49
Wall Street Target $75.42 (+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.2%
Profit Margin 29.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.8% premium
PE vs Historical 26.5 vs 24.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $75.75 (+3%)
2-Year Target $77.87 (+6%)
3-Year Target $80.05 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→24) PE COMPRESSION $73.73 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.5, Growth: 6.9%) $89.91 (+22%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.9%) $74.80 (+2%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 6.9%) $63.58 (-14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case $96.81 (+31%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case $88.01 (+19%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case $50.35 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gary C. Peters BUY 2026-01-12

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