BRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRO - Brown & Brown, Inc.
$64.84
-0.42 (-0.64%)
▼
5d:
-2.5%
30d:
-10.39%
90d:
-19.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
BRO is down 5.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-05-15 with 2,514 OI. Call ratio: 76% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.95
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.03
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRO is currently trading at $64.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.94 to $71.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.80 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.80 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$65.94 -
$71.42
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BRO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($82.80)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$65.94 -
$71.42
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.29
Resistance Level
$68.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.10
Wall Street Target
$82.80
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.2%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 15.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.67
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$58.28
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$55.07
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$65.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$147.76
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$86.60
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$73.61
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$116.28
(+74%)
Analyst growth 57.7%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$105.71
(+58%)
Market implied 57.7%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$45.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$77.22
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
13
Buys
7
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Byron Donalds
SELL
2026-02-10
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Advanced BRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BRO price and gamma walls.
