BRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRX - BRIXMOR PROPERTY GROUP INC.
$26.79
0.39 (1.48%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.29
Based on -1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRX is currently trading at $26.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.87 to $26.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.8) is in line with its historical norms (26.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BRX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BRX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$25.87 -
$26.49
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 6.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.87 -
$26.49
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.89
Resistance Level
$26.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.80
Wall Street Target
$30.33
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
26.8 vs 26.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.58
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.77
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.96
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.46
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.8, Growth: -6.1%)
$21.83
(+-17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -6.1%)
$18.16
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -6.1%)
$15.44
(-42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$26.11
(-3%)
Analyst growth -8.8%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$23.73
(-11%)
Market implied -8.8%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$17.69
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven F Siegel
SELL
25000 shares
2025-09-05
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