SPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPG - Simon Property Group, Inc.
$200.42
0.40 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
-0.29%
30d:
-2.82%
90d:
-0.79%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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1 traders called SPG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.13
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPG is currently trading at $200.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $200.24 to $204.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.1) is in line with its historical norms (27.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $199.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $199.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$200.24 -
$204.35
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($211.35)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$200.24 -
$204.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$199.00
Resistance Level
$206.46
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.11
Wall Street Target
$211.35
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
70.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
29.1 vs 27.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$203.83
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$207.29
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$210.82
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$200.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$237.91
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$180.62
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 5.9%)
$153.53
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.38
Bull Case
$111.54
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$101.40
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$137.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Daniel C Smith
BUY
347 shares
2025-12-31
Stefan M Selig
BUY
201 shares
2025-12-31
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