BSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
$14.01
0.23 (1.67%)
▲
5d:
+5.34%
30d:
+0.79%
90d:
-7.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.68
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $14.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.58 to $14.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.58 -
$14.25
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 8.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.58 -
$14.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.95
Resistance Level
$14.36
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.40
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.5%
Profit Margin
72.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.22
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$14.43
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$14.65
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.1%)
$37.09
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 14.1%)
$20.83
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 14.1%)
$17.71
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$13.55
(-3%)
Analyst growth -11.0%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$12.31
(-12%)
Market implied -11.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$9.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 12:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
29386 shares
2026-04-06
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
30276 shares
2026-03-05
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