BTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTI - British American Tobacco p.l.c. American Depositary Shares, American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share
$61.77
1.21 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
-1.14%
30d:
+2.17%
90d:
+6.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When BTI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BTI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BTI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.77
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTI is currently trading at $61.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.47 to $62.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.44 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.44 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$59.47 -
$62.74
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($68.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.47 -
$62.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.23
Resistance Level
$63.14
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.76
Wall Street Target
$68.44
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Profit Margin
30.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.20
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$62.64
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$63.08
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$146.16
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$78.89
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$67.06
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.61
Bull Case
$75.93
(+23%)
Analyst growth 14.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$69.02
(+12%)
Market implied 14.0%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$41.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Tobacco Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Tobacco by analyst ratings.
