BUD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUD - Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV
$71.30
0.53 (0.75%)
▲
5d:
+4.95%
30d:
-5.68%
90d:
+11.34%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.57
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.38
1.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUD is currently trading at $71.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.71 to $77.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BUD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.90 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BUD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.90 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$68.71 -
$77.10
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($89.90)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$68.71 -
$77.10
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.35
Resistance Level
$71.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.42
Wall Street Target
$89.90
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.3%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.51
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$66.31
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$64.19
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$70.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$157.56
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$101.64
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$86.40
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case
$107.48
(+57%)
Analyst growth 44.8%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$97.71
(+43%)
Market implied 44.8%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$45.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$78.05
(+10.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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