BURL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BURL - BURLINGTON STORES, INC.
$324.51
8.47 (2.68%)
▲
5d:
+10.53%
30d:
-1.55%
90d:
+4.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BURL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BURL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$432.64
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$268.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BURL is currently trading at $324.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $297.57 to $336.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.0) is in line with its historical norms (28.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $324.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BURL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $367.40 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $324.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BURL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $367.40 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$297.57 -
$336.09
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($367.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$297.57 -
$336.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$280.57
Resistance Level
$324.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.04
Wall Street Target
$367.40
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
29.0 vs 28.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$328.08
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$331.69
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$335.34
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$324.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.0, Growth: 14.4%)
$486.27
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.4%)
$368.28
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$313.04
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.50
Bull Case
$401.42
(+27%)
Analyst growth 17.6%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$364.93
(+16%)
Market implied 17.6%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$210.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 5:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BURL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Travis Marquette
SELL
3759 shares
2026-03-24
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