CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$10.92
-0.15 (-1.36%)
▼
5d:
-9.45%
30d:
-20.35%
90d:
-10.49%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.81
14.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $10.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.92 to $13.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+35.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+35.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.92 -
$13.82
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 8.7% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.92 -
$13.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.62
Resistance Level
$14.20
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.32
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.1%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 7.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.25
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$11.43
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$11.61
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.11
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 185.5%)
$112.72
(+918%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 185.5%)
$37.36
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 185.5%)
$31.76
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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