CB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CB - Chubb Limited
$328.46
4.31 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
+2.56%
30d:
-0.72%
90d:
-1.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$444.76
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$276.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $328.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $321.86 to $330.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $328.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $328.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$321.86 -
$330.19
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($345.26)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$321.86 -
$330.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$315.04
Resistance Level
$328.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.09
Wall Street Target
$345.26
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.7%
Profit Margin
18.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$320.91
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$317.70
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$314.52
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$323.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 7.9%)
$810.71
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 7.9%)
$407.29
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 7.9%)
$346.20
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.26
Bull Case
$364.24
(+12%)
Analyst growth 3.4%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$331.13
(+2%)
Market implied 3.4%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$217.66
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$333.28
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-26
Olivier Steimer
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-19
Timothy Alan Boroughs
SELL
27817 shares
2026-02-06
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