CCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCL - Carnival Corporation
$27.91
-0.61 (-2.14%)
▼
5d:
-1.93%
30d:
+0.98%
90d:
+5.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.08
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.61
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $27.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.23 to $29.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.00, while resistance sits at $31.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.86 (+28.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.00, while resistance sits at $31.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.86 (+28.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.23 -
$29.63
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($35.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.23 -
$29.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.00
Resistance Level
$31.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.60
Wall Street Target
$35.86
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Profit Margin
11.2%
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.91
(0%)
2-Year Target
$27.91
(0%)
3-Year Target
$27.91
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.3%)
$92.50
(+231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 17.3%)
$45.02
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 17.3%)
$38.27
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$37.20
(+33%)
Analyst growth 18.6%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$33.82
(+21%)
Market implied 18.6%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$19.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
11988 shares
2026-04-01
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
12 shares
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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