CGNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$64.26
-1.83 (-2.77%)
▼
5d:
-2.13%
30d:
+16.9%
90d:
+9.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CGNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CGNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.75
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $64.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.29 to $62.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.0) is in line with its historical norms (34.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $55.50, while resistance sits at $71.90.
Market Sentiment: CGNX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.05 (+16.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $55.50, while resistance sits at $71.90.
Market Sentiment: CGNX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.05 (+16.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.29 -
$62.29
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($75.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.29 -
$62.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.50
Resistance Level
$71.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.02
Wall Street Target
$75.05
(+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
122.3%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
37.0 vs 34.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.74
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$67.25
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$68.80
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.0, Growth: 18.0%)
$105.55
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$62.92
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 18.0%)
$53.48
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 33.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.90
Bull Case
$77.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$64.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$49.16
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angelos Papadimitriou
SELL
4150 shares
2026-02-23
Laura Ann Macdonald
SELL
14881 shares
2026-02-12
Robert Willett
SELL
177052 shares
2026-02-12
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