ITRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRI - Itron Inc
$85.11
0.62 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
+2.6%
30d:
+1.4%
90d:
-5.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ITRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ITRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.86
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRI is currently trading at $85.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.56 to $84.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $79.47, while resistance sits at $88.62.
Market Sentiment: ITRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.70 (+48.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $79.47, while resistance sits at $88.62.
Market Sentiment: ITRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.70 (+48.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.56 -
$84.33
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.9% below Wall St target ($126.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.56 -
$84.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.47
Resistance Level
$88.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.98
Wall Street Target
$126.70
(+48.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.9%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.56
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$80.08
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$77.68
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$84.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$189.09
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 9.8%)
$112.69
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 9.8%)
$95.79
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.26
Bull Case
$97.35
(+14%)
Analyst growth 4.7%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$88.50
(+4%)
Market implied 4.7%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$57.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$93.11
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joan S Hooper
SELL
3533 shares
2026-02-26
Donald L Reeves III
SELL
519 shares
2026-02-25
David Marshall Wright
SELL
264 shares
2026-02-20
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