CHRW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$194.95
1.23 (0.63%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CHRW is 7.5% above fair value ($181.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CHRW is 7.5% above fair value ($181.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$300.11
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$186.35
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $194.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.75 to $181.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $200.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $200.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$163.75 -
$181.28
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
CHRW is technically overbought (RSI 83). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($185.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$163.75 -
$181.28
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$172.17
Resistance Level
$200.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.35
Wall Street Target
$185.29
(-5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.6%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.4 vs 27.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$194.37
(0%)
2-Year Target
$193.78
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$193.20
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→28)
$194.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$321.96
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$262.52
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.2%)
$223.15
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$245.74
(+26%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$223.40
(+15%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$125.31
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.3 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$196.74
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 10:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Arun Rajan
SELL
2500 shares
2025-08-15
Angela K Freeman
SELL
5713 shares
2025-08-11
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