CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$36.09
-0.31 (-0.85%)
▼
5d:
+1.04%
30d:
-9.23%
90d:
-11.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.97
40.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $36.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.70 to $39.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.70 -
$39.37
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.70 -
$39.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.10
Resistance Level
$38.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$38.75
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.0%
Profit Margin
52.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$29.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$26.31
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$36.76
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 42.0%)
$289.91
(+703%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 42.0%)
$103.43
(+187%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 42.0%)
$87.91
(+144%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.50
Bull Case
$24.47
(-32%)
Analyst growth -38.9%, PE expands to 5.3
Base Case
$22.25
(-38%)
Market implied -38.9%, PE stable at 4.9
Bear Case
$24.75
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$50.42
(+39.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Lally-Green
SELL
23631 shares
2026-03-23
Bernard Lanigan Jr
SELL
46119 shares
2026-02-19
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