CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$33.84
0.30 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
+0.68%
30d:
+1.56%
90d:
-11.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.74
35.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $33.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.97 to $33.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.64 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.64 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.97 -
$33.94
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.64)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.97 -
$33.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.04
Resistance Level
$34.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.99
Wall Street Target
$38.64
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.0%
Profit Margin
52.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.10
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$28.58
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$26.26
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$33.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 38.0%)
$242.45
(+616%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 38.0%)
$88.96
(+163%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 38.0%)
$75.61
(+123%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.50
Bull Case
$20.83
(-38%)
Analyst growth -43.5%, PE expands to 4.9
Base Case
$18.94
(-44%)
Market implied -43.5%, PE stable at 4.5
Bear Case
$22.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$43.62
(+28.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Lally-Green
SELL
23631 shares
2026-03-23
Bernard Lanigan Jr
SELL
46119 shares
2026-02-19
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